Advertisement

Coronavirus may cause 21 millions deaths in China and definitely a world crisis now to pay attention

Coronavirus may cause 21 millions deaths in China and definitely a world crisis now to pay attention feb 13, 2020 Eric Hotung Leung.
Coronavirus futures cases estimation:
Assume 20% hidden, and 80% can be detected,
Death rate: 1.5% to 2.2%
Cycle of spreading: 14 days.
Spread rate is 1:174 based on Diamond Princess Cruise Ship figures Feb 12.
Over 50,000 cases confirmed on Feb 13 morning.
Coronavirus diseases caused by 20% hidden patients in next 14 days: 50,000/80%x20% x 174 times for next 14 days.= 2.175 millions.
Another 14 days: 75.69 millions.
Another 14 days: 2.634 billions.

attention

Post a Comment

0 Comments